The “crypto winter” of 2021 and 2022, a major crisis for cryptocurrencies in which the bitcoin price slumped below $20,000, losing 75% over 12 months, seems like an old memory. Bitcoin spot price (BTC/USD) has had a strong 2024, climbing past many price milestones—including $100,000—as a confluence of factors drove up investor confidence in the leading cryptocurrency.
Analysts forecast bitcoin will hit new all-time highs in 2025, as flows into spot bitcoin ETFs in 2025 could keep pace with the numbers from 2024, while an US decision to adopt a bitcoin strategic reserve could support the prices. However, its performance will depend on macroeconomic factors, market liquidity, and regulatory policies under the Trump administration.
Summary of Bitcoin Forecast & Price Predictions
- Bitcoin price prediction today: If the actual correction will capitulate above the previous swing high at 74,000, it is a sign of strength (buying pressure) that could indicate the uptrend will resume. BTC/USD has demonstrated a pattern of advancing in $16,000 to $18,000 increments since the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
- Bitcoin price prediction 2025: Analysts forecast Bitcoin's 30% correction at the beginning of the year might be followed by a period of consolidation during the summer and a peak toward year-end. Experts forecast an average price target of 120.000-130.000 in 2025, with the most bullish ones forecasting bitcoin could rise to $200,000 by the end of next year, amid growing demand from institutional investors.
- Bitcoin price prediction 2025-2030: Most analysts point out that crypto investors will shift focus from speculative trading to the development and adoption of blockchains and applications powered by tokens with utility and cash flows, to trade well above $200,000 in the next 5 years, with the most optimistic forecasts pointing towards 500,000.
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Making Bitcoin price predictions is a very risky exercise. In 2025, bitcoin’s future looks promising yet uncertain, according to analysts. In this section we look at the likely price drivers for Bitcoin next year, the role that asset managers will play in bringing it into the mainstream and likely changes in the regulatory landscape.
As interest rates are forecasted to decrease in 2025, increased liquidity in the financial system could also flow into digital assets, potentially driving up demand for bitcoin.
However, escalating geopolitical conflicts, particularly in the Middle East, could significantly dampen investors' appetite for high-risk assets. The resulting economic uncertainty and market instability often push investors toward safer, more traditional assets, potentially triggering a sell-off in cryptocurrency and other risk assets.
Experts also warn about the possibility of slower-than-expected implementation of pro-cryptocurrency policies by the White House. This could lead to market disappointment and a price correction as many investors bet that the Trump administration will turn the tide of cryptocurrency processing in the United States.
The Trump administration's approach to cryptocurrency regulation is expected to be significantly more favorable than previous administrations. With Gary Gensler stepping down as SEC chairman on January 20, 2025, Trump has nominated Paul Atkins, a known cryptocurrency advocate, to take his place. This change in leadership signals a potential shift towards more crypto-friendly policies.
Trump has pledged to make the United States the new "bitcoin hub," and there are speculations about pro-crypto appointments in key government positions, including the Department of Commerce, Treasury, and the SEC. These appointments could lead to a more supportive regulatory environment for the cryptocurrency industry.
The administration is planning to establish advisory councils focused on digital assets and appoint a "crypto tsar" to advise and regulate the industry. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse is being considered for this role. These initiatives suggest a potential streamlining of regulatory processes and greater integration of digital assets into traditional financial systems, which could foster innovation and growth in the crypto sector.
Bitcoin has evolved into a full-fledged financial asset class over the last few years. Its market capitalization of USD2.03 trillion (£1.57 trillion) places it among the world’s largest assets, and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 has bridged the gap between crypto and traditional finance.
According to analysts, these instruments will continue to contribute to increased demand in the US as more private banks, hedge funds, and government pension funds add BTC to their portfolios, as evidenced by the SEC’s 13F filings over the past three quarters.
The entry of major asset managers such as BlackRock and Fidelity have further legitimized bitcoin as a portfolio asset and institutional investors are increasingly recognizing the value of allocating a small percentage of their multi-asset portfolios to bitcoin. More and more are beginning to recognize that no allocation in bitcoin represents an active underweighting, rather than a neutral position”.
Bitcoin halving is a significant event in the cryptocurrency world, occurring approximately every four years. It reduces the reward for mining new bitcoins by 50%, thereby decreasing the rate of new bitcoin creation and limiting its supply. This scarcity mechanism often leads to increased demand and higher prices, although future price effects are not guaranteed. The April 2024 halving lowered Bitcoin's inflation rate to less than 1% annually, making it even scarcer than gold.
Historically, Bitcoin halving have marked transitions in market cycles, often signaling the start of bull markets. Analysts note that as Bitcoin matures, the percentage gains during these cycles may become smaller, even if the overall pattern persists. For example, projections suggest a potential bull cycle lasting until late 2025, aligning with Bitcoin’s established four-year cycle. However, achieving extreme price levels like $2 million per Bitcoin would imply an unprecedented market capitalization.
Beyond cyclical trends, macroeconomic factors and fundamental drivers also play critical roles in Bitcoin’s trajectory. These include broader adoption, technological advancements, and regulatory developments. While halving events remain central to Bitcoin’s design and scarcity model, investors must monitor evolving catalysts to understand their impact on Bitcoin's price and adoption in the coming years.
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Since its inception, Bitcoin is the best performing asset class worldwide. However, recent market turmoil and a risk off environment have led to a 30+% pullback from the all-time high of $109k achieved in 2024.
Nevertheless, according to the trend pattern, investors should be looking to buy the dip at these levels. In technical analysis, we call multiple signals that align a confluence.
Retest of Previous Breakout Zone: BTC/USD is currently retesting its breakout zone from November from a seven-month base structure. A previous breakout area can act as an area of support, especially with so much “price discovery.”
Retest of Ascendent Trendline: BTC/USD is currently showing an intermediate trend counter trend for the primary uptrend started in mid-2023, an area that should act as support.
200-day Moving Average Tag: IBIT tagged its rising 200-day moving average for the first time in its history Monday. The first tag of a rising 200-day moving average is a zone where institutional investors tend to step up to support shares.
Corrective Waves: Elliot Wave Theory suggests that sellers may be fatigued when a stock has two corrective selling waves (with wave A being a 3 waves structure).
During a bear market, the best thing investors can do is look for relative price strength. While the major market indices and most stocks are below their 50-week moving averages, Bitcoin remains above it – a subtle yet powerful sign of relative strength. However, it is below the 200-day moving averages, a sign that confirms the intermediate nature of the correction (secondary reaction according to the Dow theory).
Historical seasonality patterns have been extremely accurate in recent years and one of the main drivers of the Bitcoin price predictions for today, current year and next 5 years. The seasonality roadmap suggests that Bitcoin should rally into August before retreating.
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There are only 21 million bitcoins that can ever be created, and 19.79 million of them are already in circulation. While bitcoin supply is finite, demand for it has picked up. There is growing demand for bitcoin from institutional investors that include ETF promoters, corporations and nation-states.
Historically, bitcoin—and by extension the entire crypto market—rises and falls in line with the four-year bitcoin halving cycle. If that cycle were to hold, crypto markets would be due for a correction in 2025. But the presence of large institutional investors could limit any downturn.
The Federal Reserve could also crash bitcoin's party. The central bank recently scaled back its expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025, which weighed on bitcoin prices. If the Fed slows down its rate cuts, Treasury yields could remain high, making them more attractive to investors compared to riskier assets such as bitcoin.
While some analysts forecast bitcoin to reach $200,000 by the end of 2025, other peg it slightly above $100,000. Such predictions for bitcoin prices have been made many times in the past but seemed too ambitious. With bitcoin surging above $100,000, they may not seem so far-fetched now.
CoinShares predicts Bitcoin's price range for 2025 to be between $80,000 and $150,000 due to a favorable U.S. regulatory environment but warns of risks such as potential market corrections if pro-crypto policies promised by Donald Trump fail to materialize. They highlight that Bitcoin's long-term value reaching $250,000, reflects 25% of gold's market share, though they do not expect this milestone to be achieved by 2025 due to timing challenges.
CoinsShares forecast Bitcoin's price movements will depend heavily on regulatory developments and broader market acceptance. While $80,000 could result from policy disappointments, the $150,000 target hinges on institutional support and technological confidence. They remain optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory but acknowledges that precise timing for these price levels is difficult to predict.
The asset manager firm forecast bitcoin crossing $150,000 in the first half of the year before reaching $185,000 in the fourth quarter, due to a combination of institutional, corporate, and nation state adoption.
Throughout its existence, Bitcoin has appreciated faster than all other asset classes, particularly the S&P 500 and gold, and that trend is forecasted to continue in 2025. Bitcoin should also reach 20% of Gold’s market cap.
Galaxy predicts U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded products will collectively cross $250 billion in assets under management in 2025, with five Nasdaq 100 companies and five nation-states to add bitcoin to their balance sheets or sovereign wealth funds.
These institutional Bitcoin price predictions vividly depict the potential trajectory in 2025. Despite varying specifics, they collectively underscore a shared optimism about Bitcoin’s future.
JP Morgan analysts predict Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $145,000 in 2025. The bank is assuming 3x growth in Lightning Network capacity to 8,000 BTC.
Bloomberg Intelligence is forecasting Bitcoin will reach $135,000 in 2025, based on Bitcoin reaching 20% of gold's market cap.
Global investment fund VanEck has released their Bitcoin predictions for 2025, estimating the best cryptocurrency by market will capture 10% of the $12 trillion offshore wealth market to reach $180,000 by the end of the year.
Standard Chartered predicts Bitcoin's price could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025 due to sustained institutional inflows, particularly from U.S. spot ETFs, which have already accumulated 683,000 BTC in 2024, largely driven by MicroStrategy's purchases. MicroStrategy is forecasting Bitcoin acquisitions to increase next year and anticipates reforms under the incoming Trump administration that could encourage U.S. pension funds to allocate more to Bitcoin via ETFs. Even a small portion of the $40 trillion in U.S. retirement funds invested in Bitcoin could significantly boost its price.
They highlighted other factors that could propel Bitcoin's value, including potential adoption by sovereign wealth funds and the establishment of a U.S. strategic reserve fund for Bitcoin. The firm emphasized that broader institutional uptake, including retirement funds and reserve managers, would amplify Bitcoin's growth trajectory. Standard Chartered has previously compared Bitcoin's price dynamics to gold following the introduction of gold ETFs, suggesting a similar pattern could emerge for Bitcoin as ETF inflows grow steadily.
Fundstrat, a prominent research firm, has set an ambitious target for Bitcoin, predicting it could soar up to $250,000 based on halving-induced supply shock and potential U.S. Treasury adoption. The firm notes that if the U.S. allocated 0.5% of reserves to BTC, it would absorb 85% of annual supply.
Nexo is highly optimistic about Bitcoin's prospects for 2025, forecasting BTC/USD will more than double to reach $250,000 within a year. In the long term, they believe the entire crypto market will surpass the capitalization of gold, based on trends such as Bitcoin's growing recognition as a reserve asset, increased adoption of crypto-related exchange-traded products (ETPs), and stronger overall adoption.
They highlight supportive macroeconomic conditions, including the easing of monetary policies by major central banks, as factors that could boost Bitcoin's growth. However, they warn that the Federal Reserve's management of interest rates and inflation will be crucial. Persistent inflation could lead to a more hawkish stance, impacting Bitcoin's price. Given the U.S.'s leading role in crypto-related investments, interest rate decisions and inflation dynamics will remain significant influences on Bitcoin's price in 2025.
What will Bitcoin be worth in 2025? There are some bolder Bitcoin price predictions being made by investors, analysts, and industry leaders.
BitMEX’s founder, Arthur Hayes, forecasted Bitcoin potentially reaching $70,000 - 85,000 by the end 2025 amid a more conservative forecast. Hayes predicted a severe downturn, using the term “goblin town” to describe a potential price collapse. According to Hayes, Bitcoin may fall to $70,000 if ETF outflows exceed $30 billion.
Messari, a notable name in crypto analytics, predicted a Bitcoin value exceeding $600,000. Its analysis underscored Bitcoin’s resilience and dominance in the cryptocurrency market, citing its ability to lead recoveries and overshadow other digital currencies. Bitcoin dominance shrank from 87% to 37% in 2017. It reclaimed 70% during its consolidation phase and went up to $40,000 in 2021 before dropping to 38% at the height of the bubble. We just tapped 54%. There’s still room to consolidate, analysts at Messari argued.
Gold Forecast & Price Prediction 2025
Billionaire investor Tim Draper, known for his early advocacy of cryptocurrency, has adjusted his Bitcoin price prediction. Initially, Draper forecasted that Bitcoin would reach $250,000 by June 2023. However, he recently acknowledged that this target might be delayed until 2025, attributing the postponement to unexpected aggressive enforcement actions by the U.S. government, particularly the SEC, against crypto companies.
Draper remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s value and underlying technology, envisioning a future where financial transactions and operations are conducted entirely in Bitcoin, leveraging blockchain’s transparency and efficiency.
The finance professor predicts that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025, with a mid-year trading range of $150,000 ± $50,000. She attributes this bullish outlook to anticipated regulatory clarity in the U.S., which she believes will support Bitcoin's growth. However, Alexander warns that the lack of regulation on crypto exchanges will sustain market volatility, driven by highly leveraged trades. Despite her confidence in Bitcoin's potential, she does not own any herself.
Alexander has a track record of accurate Bitcoin price forecasts, including predicting its rise to $100,000 in 2024. While optimistic about its future value, she emphasizes that volatility remains a significant concern for investors. Her projections align with broader industry expectations for Bitcoin's growth amid increasing institutional interest and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Nonetheless, she cautions that unpredictable price swings are likely to persist due to the unregulated nature of many crypto trading platforms.
Trading Economics forecasts Bitcoin to be priced at $73,646 by the end of this quarter and at $60,261 in one year, according to its global macro model's projections and analysts' expectations.
Wallet Investor provides a slightly bullish Bitcoin price prediction for 2025. The website forecasts Bitcoin to rebound from the $70,000 lows and retest the highs by the end of the year. The website forecast Bitcoin to trade at $114,000 within 1 year.
According to Coin Price Forecast, Bitcoin price will hit $90,000 by the end of 2025 with $99,000 by the end of Q2, while Long Forecast predicts Bitcoin to trade as high as $100,000 by the end of 2025.
Bitcoin price prediction from Cathie Wood (CEO of Ark Invest) - $1.5M
Cathie Wood of ARK Invest predicts Bitcoin could reach $1,5M by 2030, with her optimism spawning from the growing interest among institutional investors, Bitcoin's fixed supply and decentralized nature make it an attractive store of value, and the adoption of Bitcoin by nation-states for treasury holdings.
This outrageous Bitcoin price prediction entails a crypto market cap representing a large portion of a projected $25 trillion total crypto market, emphasizing Bitcoin’s role as a unique global digital monetary system.
Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, said that limited supply and rising demand would suggest a bullish bitcoin projection. The analyst's Bitcoin price prediction for 2030 is $100,000.
Arthur Hayes predicts a significant surge in Bitcoin’s value, with a long-term projection of $750,000 to $1 million by 2026. In his recent interview, Hayes pointed to Bitcoin’s limited supply, the introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs in regulated markets, and geopolitical uncertainties as significant factors driving this anticipated growth.
Renowned bitcoin analyst PlanB predicts a potential all-time high of $524,000 for bitcoin in the next four years.
Analysts at Blockware Solutions suggest that the 2024 bitcoin halving could propel the price to a staggering $400,000 in the next 5 years.
Mike Novogratz, a prominent Bitcoin advocate and CEO of Galaxy Digital, has significantly revised his earlier bullish predictions for Bitcoin. In 2021, he had anticipated Bitcoin reaching $500,000 by 2024, even planning a commemorative tattoo for the milestone. Novogratz maintains a long-term optimistic view, believing Bitcoin will eventually hit $500,000, though not within the next five years.
His current ultra-bullish Bitcoin price prediction is influenced by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s firm stance on interest rates, which Novogratz has forecasted as a barrier to a rapid return to BTC’s previous highs.
Mark Basa gave a more bullish Bitcoin price prediction for 2030 and beyond. He expected the token to reach $1m in the next eight years. He believes that a whole new generation of young people is going to be introduced to easier ways to buy Bitcoin and interact with crypto. They’ll be faced with a much higher cost of living, US debt, inflation, and a housing market almost out of reach.
The most bullish 2030 Bitcoin price prediction comes from Cathie Wood of ARK Invest. She forecasts Bitcoin will hit $1.5 million by 2030.
The Bitcoin price prediction for the next 5 years from WalletInvestor is bullish, with BTC forecasted to trade around 246,000 USD.
Giving longer-term price targets for bitcoin in 2030, DigitalCoinPrice, as of May 2024, suggested that the coin could trade at an average price of $305,981.72 in 2030.
According to PricePrediction, the average Bitcoin value could be $387,000 by 2030.
According to CoinPriceForecast, Bitcoin price will hit $138,496 by the end of 2026. Bitcoin will rise from $186,384 to $273,263 during 2031-2035. This is one of the most bullish Bitcoin forecast for the next 10 years.
Many price predictions for Bitcoin are flawed because they lack the necessary analytical support. Investors will always be attracted to a high price point, especially one that is on an upward price trend. Someone holding a cryptocurrency priced at $0.01 could easily believe that it will rise to $10,000 just because it sounds good.
The problem is that predictions can be made without any evidence or analysis. However, three types of analysis have been used in the financial world for a long time to try and forecast prices and the evolution of markets.
Investors in financial markets use fundamental analysis to study and evaluate the variables that impact an asset’s price.
You can assess the intrinsic value of a cryptocurrency to determine if it is undervalued or overvalued. This can be achieved by analyzing qualitative factors like the state of the economy and cryptocurrency market conditions, as well as the management and market capitalization of crypto companies.
Fundamental analysis can help traders determine the price of a cryptocurrency based on a wide range of information. This could be a great way to make long-term investment decisions.
How to conduct a Bitcoin price prediction today using fundamentals
Fundamental analysis is when you examine the fundamentals of cryptocurrency projects, from their market capitalization to the utility and value of the native token.
Do not confuse fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analyses of cryptos are more qualitative and less tangible than statistical trends like price charts or historical market data.
The fundamental analysis of cryptocurrency is like that of traditional financial markets with more traditional assets such as stocks. It is not as important to focus on a company’s historical financial performance, financial statements, or balance sheets.
The following parameters can be used to help investors predict trends in crypto markets:
It is important to remember that fundamental analysis can only give you an overview of cryptocurrency investments. You can better understand the project and the future changes in cryptocurrency prices by looking at all the information. To get a better picture, you can also refer to the company’s whitepaper.
You can also examine blockchain metrics which provide crucial information about a cryptocurrency's technology and processes.
Technical analysis uses historical price charts and market statistics to examine and anticipate price changes in the financial markets. It is founded on the concept that if a trader can recognize historical market trends, they may anticipate future price trajectories accurately.
Whereas fundamental analysis focuses on an asset's 'real value,' considering both external and intrinsic elements, technical analysis is only based on an asset's price charts. To anticipate future movements, all that is required is the recognition of patterns on a chart.
The ability to recognize price trend cues in a market is an important part of any trading strategy. All traders must devise a strategy for determining the optimal entry and exit points in a market and using technical analysis tools is a popular technique for doing so.
Technical analysis software is now so widely utilized that many people believe it has established self-fulfilling trading rules: As more traders use the same indicators to find support and resistance levels, more buyers and sellers will congregate around the same price points, repeating the patterns.
In general, technical analysts look at the following broad types of indicators, formations, and theories:
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In finance, the term "sentiment" refers to a viewpoint or opinion about a market's condition. The sentiment of crypto market investors towards the asset is a description of their general emotions and attitudes. It reflects the collective psychology of all those involved in trading and developing cryptocurrency.
How investors feel about cryptocurrency can have a tangible impact on market cycles and the price. It can have serious implications if enough traders act on the ideas, thoughts, and feelings they share, regardless of whether they are based on real-world data. This is evident in how tweets by Elon Musk have impacted Bitcoin's price (a bullish sentiment).
For analyzing the sentiment of cryptocurrency markets, there are many statistics you can use. The following statistics provide vital information about the movement and trajectory of cryptocurrency assets: funding rates, sentiment indices, social media, community analysis, and whale monitoring.
The funding rates are the monthly payments that traders receive based on price differences between the spot price of currencies and tokens and the price difference between cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. Positive funding rates indicate a bullish market.
A sentiment index is used to predict whether investors will act fearfully or greedily. It can be affected by volatility, market momentum, and investor responses to surveys. A fearful market can be an opportunity to buy if it is managed correctly. Conversely, a greedy market means that it is a good moment to sell.
Another crucial aspect for assessing sentiment in crypto markets is the community’s activity on social media, especially Twitter and Telegram. Investors would look for an active social network with meaningful interaction across platforms.
Whale monitoring is the process of keeping an eye out for big crypto players. A cryptocurrency whale is an investor who holds large-value transactions on multiple blockchains. Whale watchers spot major market participants' trades and trade accordingly.
To better inform your Bitcoin price predictions, here are the most important price movements and trends in Bitcoin's history.
Bitcoin was first introduced in 2009. Back then, the price of BTC was zero. Its price reached $0.09 on July 17, 2010. In April 2011, the price was around $1 and surged to around $29.60 by June 2011, which was a 2,960% growth in only three months. Its price dropped to $2 by November 2011.
Bitcoin had a steady evolution throughout 2012, and by 2013 it surged again, reaching $230 by April and then $1,237 in October 2013. However, the Bitcoin price plummeted by 2014, and it was around $300 by the start of 2015.
The price of Bitcoin steadily climbed through 2016, reaching $900 by December 2016. In December 2017, Bitcoin's price reached $19,345.49, gaining massive social media attention. Major investors took notice of Bitcoin, and the cryptocurrency market exploded.
The price of Bitcoin fluctuated over the next two years, with only small spikes in price. In June 2019, prices surpassed $10,000, indicating a rebound in both price and trading volume. It dropped to $6,635.84 in December 2019.
The COIVD-19 pandemic caused the economy to shut down in 2020. However, Bitcoin's price surged into activity again. Bitcoin’s price was around $7,000 at the beginning of 2020. Then the price of the asset was accelerated by the pandemic shutdown and subsequent government policy. And they were right, as the price did increase about 416% by the end of the year, reaching $29,000 in December 2020.
It took Bitcoin less than a month to surpass its 2020 price record of $40,000, which happened in January 2021. Prices fell by half in the summer of 2021. Bitcoin’s price reached its lowest point on July 19, when it was trading at $29,795.55.
But the crypto market experienced another bull market during October and November, and Bitcoin reached an all-time record of $67,549.14 on November 7, 2021.
Bitcoin failed to break the $70,000 level and started dropping in late 2021. The cryptocurrency has slipped into a bear market since November 2021, recording one of its biggest historical crashes in 2022, driven by the collapse of high-profile projects, liquidity issues and bankruptcies.
By the end of 2022, the cryptocurrency crashed below $20,000 for the first time since 2020, fueling extreme fear in the market. In December 2022, Bitcoin was struggling to maintain at $17,000.
In 2023, FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried was found guilty of all seven criminal counts brought against him by federal prosecutors in the U.S.
Also in 2023, Binance’s Changpeng Zhao pleaded guilty to criminal charges and stepped down as the company’s CEO as part of a $4.3 billion settlement with the Department of Justice.
However, Bitcoin had a huge rally in 2023, with the digital currency up some 152% for the year.
At least some of this success can be chalked up to an improving overall economy; job gains, the deceleration of inflation, and the prospect of interest rate cuts this year have helped to bolster stocks, which have been shown to follow similar price patterns as cryptocurrencies.
The expected Bitcoin halving and Bitcoin ETF added optimism to the market with BTC/USD trading a new all-time high above $73,000 in March 2024, as funds poured into ETFs.
Bitcoin soared past $100,000 for the first time following the election of crypto-friendly President Donald Trump and entered a correction phase during Q1 2025.
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