NAGA Weekly Recap January 27 - 31, 2025
This week, stocks held firm but faced resistance as economic jitters linger. Investors are combing through earnings reports, searching for signs of resilience or weakness.
Some companies impressed, others fell short—leaving markets in a wait-and-see mode. With volatility on the horizon, will confidence take charge, or will uncertainty dictate the pace?
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*It is important to remember to assess your financial situation and risk tolerance, before engaging in copy trading. Past performance and forecast are not reliable indicators of future results.
Volatility Rises: Tech Earnings, Rate Decisions & AI Disruptions Drive Markets
Last week, markets saw heightened volatility as central banks held interest rates unchanged, keeping investors focused on economic outlooks and future policy shifts. Meanwhile, Big Tech earnings played a major role in market movements, with companies like Microsoft and Meta exceeding expectations, while others faced pressure.
Adding to the turbulence, DeepSeek AI’s breakthrough sent shockwaves through the tech sector, intensifying concerns over competition and innovation. As a result, equities experienced sharp fluctuations, with traders closely monitoring the evolving landscape.
*Trading involves significant risk of loss.
Tech Earnings & Fed Policy: A Key Day for the Markets
An earnings packed Wednesday brought heightened market volatility as the Fed's decision and major earnings reports from Tesla, Meta, and Microsoft took center stage. Microsoft’s earnings exceeded expectations at $3.23 per share versus the forecasted $3.11, signaling potential gains from its AI investments. Meta also delivered strong results, with Q4 revenue reaching $48.39 billion, surpassing the expected $46.98 billion.
Earnings per share came in at $8.02, well above the $6.78 forecast, highlighting increased profitability, with net income nearly 7% higher than expected. As investors digest these results alongside the Fed’s policy announcements, markets remain poised for significant price swings.
*Trading involves significant risk of loss.
Trump pressures OPEC+ while oil prices remain under pressure
While Oil prices have already dropped by over 10% in just 2 weeks, Trump appears to be pushing OPEC to lower oil prices by boosting production as OPEC+ remains committed to its current output cuts, with the first planned increase set for April.
On the supply side, potential U.S. sanctions on Russia, Iran, and Venezuela could play a crucial role in shaping the market. At the same time, oil prices face pressure from uncertainty surrounding trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada.
*Trading involves significant risk of loss.
ECB in focus as EURUSD tests 1.0400
EUR/USD remains subdued after weaker-than-expected German and Eurozone preliminary GDP data, trading in a narrow range just above 1.0400 late in the week. Investor attention shifted to the ECB policy announcements and US GDP data, as central banks remained a key market driver.
Forex markets have reacted sharply, with the USD showing resilience despite expectations largely aligning with decisions. Meanwhile, traders continue to monitor Trump's latest policy announcements, which add another layer of uncertainty to market sentiment.
*Trading involves significant risk of loss.
This week's updates are officially in the books! Check back next week for more market insights.
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